Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.660283 0.851194 1.066632 1.324783 1.622759 1.953101 2.344168
2025-05-11 0.375487 0.602048 0.893379 1.281678 1.772148 2.358404 3.099207
2025-05-18 0.224916 0.456260 0.795411 1.293104 1.970631 2.829185 3.967237
2025-05-25 0.122987 0.331407 0.684887 1.256054 2.089495 3.200991 4.734504
2025-06-01 0.078276 0.276839 0.659470 1.326890 2.352338 3.770339 5.781074
2025-06-08 0.042929 0.215570 0.601659 1.332099 2.513875 4.206042 6.667891
2025-06-15 0.027870 0.191242 0.602789 1.429192 2.815263 4.847207 7.853816
2025-06-22 0.015997 0.162726 0.585185 1.487744 3.056878 5.410326 8.949289
2025-06-29 0.007773 0.133342 0.554385 1.514508 3.245163 5.899675 9.953930
2025-07-06 0.002474 0.100038 0.499066 1.482418 3.329207 6.232809 10.742982
2025-07-13 0.000701 0.081149 0.473687 1.504202 3.502408 6.703617 11.739112
2025-07-20 0.000090 0.064984 0.448012 1.519505 3.662241 7.156397 12.717593
2025-07-27 NaN 0.045375 0.398214 1.474006 3.712997 7.446862 13.477093
2025-08-03 NaN 0.029881 0.349482 1.419751 3.741104 7.700537 14.188203
2025-08-10 NaN 0.022078 0.327916 1.427945 3.886506 8.147584 15.200545
2025-08-17 NaN 0.013796 0.290806 1.386230 3.929493 8.425732 15.960805
2025-08-24 NaN 0.011947 0.295284 1.460879 4.208831 9.105229 17.350864
2025-08-31 NaN 0.008191 0.277101 1.465879 4.345567 9.547565 18.381927
2025-09-07 NaN 0.007768 0.290772 1.569170 4.690711 10.352095 19.989996
2025-09-14 NaN 0.006373 0.291267 1.631404 4.952206 11.019134 21.393379
2025-09-21 NaN 0.004573 0.281696 1.659824 5.142936 11.568459 22.620504
2025-09-28 NaN 0.002407 0.254914 1.625606 5.196083 11.879596 23.476321
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001527 0.245615 1.648785 5.374617 12.412906 24.691630